Earlier this week, Markos Moulitsas wrote a post about the possibility of Republican Florida Governor Charlie Crist, seeing his path blocked by his more conservative opponent, former Florida House speaker Marco Rubio, will, like Arlen Specter, decide to run as a Democrat.
Currently Crist is believed to be politically dead, and he must let the world think that he is politically dead until he can find a way to control the raging spirit that dwells within him. I, however, believe that the governor of my former state will not only stay a Republican, he will prevail.Markos is quite correct about the stark similarities between the races in Pennsylvania and Florida. This process, no matter how similar, is much further down the road in Pennsylvania. The problem with Markos’s prediction is that Charlie Crist will have the benefit of knowing how Specter is polling against his democratic competitor(s). While no one on the Democratic side in Florida can match Joe Sestak as a candidate, Crist is likely to see that progressive Democrats beating carpetbagging conservatives in Democratic primaries can be a potent trend too.
Another reason I believe Crist won’t switch parties is because victory in this primary would be very sweet for him. The same conservative power brokers in the Republican party that kept Crist from being seriously considered for VP likely did so because they believe persistent reports and rumors about Crist’s sexual orientation. These same forces allowed an editorial in the Wall Street Journal with this ham-fisted title–“Hurricane Charlie: The Republican Barney Frank.” You’d have to read beyond the headline to know that the connection between Crist and Frank isn’t their sexual orientation. The connection drawn in the editorial is based on how risky the two of these guys are as politicians. Oh. It’s a natural comparison right? For it is riskiness, not homosexuality, that leaps to mind when you think of those two guys.
There’s a big green hulking monster inside this thin, humble-talking, orange Southern governor and the WSJ may have just triggered the wrath of the gamma rays.
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